=a ∫ 0 1 x 2 ⅆ x +a ∫ 1 2 ⅆ x -a ∫ 2 3 x ⅆ x +3a ∫ 2 3 ⅆ x =a [ x 3 3 ] 0 1 +a [x] 1 2 -a [ x 2 2 ] 2 3 +3a [x] 2 3 = =a 1 3 +a- 9 2 a+2a+3a= 11 6 a ⇒ a= 6 11 Quindi la distribuzione di probabilità diventa (normalizzata): f(x)={ 0 x<0 6 11 x 2 0 ≤ x<1 6 11 1 ≤ x<2 - 6 11 x+ 18 11 2 ≤ x<3 0 3 ≤ x
In questo caso: F(x) ={ 0 x<0 ∫ 0 x ( 6 11 x 2 ) ⅆ x 0 ≤ x<1 F(1)+ ∫ 1 x ( 6 11 ) ⅆ x 1 ≤ x<2 F(2)+ ∫ 2 x ( - 6 11 x+ 18 11 ) ⅆ x 2 ≤ x<3 F(3) 3 ≤ x ={ 0 x<0 6 33 x 3 0 ≤ x<1 F(1)+ [ 6 11 x ] 1 x 1 ≤ x<2 F(2)+ [ - 6 22 x 2 + 18 11 x ] 2 x 2 ≤ x<3 F(3) 3 ≤ x ={ 0 x<0 2 11 x 3 0 ≤ x<1 6 33 +[ ( 6 11 x )-( 6 11 ) ] 1 ≤ x<2 F(2)+[ ( - 6 22 x 2 + 18 11 x )-( - 12 11 + 36 11 ) ] 2 ≤ x<3 F(3) 3 ≤ x = ={ 0 x<0 2 11 x 3 0 ≤ x<1 6 11 x- 4 11 1 ≤ x<2 F(2)- 6 22 x 2 + 18 11 x- 24 11 2 ≤ x<3 F(3) 3 ≤ x ={ 0 x<0 2 11 x 3 0 ≤ x<1 6 11 x- 4 11 1 ≤ x<2 12 11 - 4 11 - 6 22 x 2 + 18 11 x- 24 11 2 ≤ x<3 F(3) 3 ≤ x ={ 0 x<0 2 11 x 3 0 ≤ x<1 6 11 x- 4 11 1 ≤ x<2 - 6 22 x 2 + 18 11 x- 16 11 2 ≤ x<3 F(3) 4 ≤ x ={ 0 x<0 2 11 x 3 0 ≤ x<1 6 11 x- 4 11 1 ≤ x<2 - 6 22 x 2 + 18 11 x- 16 11 2 ≤ x<3 1 3 ≤ x Di seguito il grafico della funzione di ripartizione.
In questo caso: F(x) ={ 0 x<0 ∫ 0 x ( 6 11 x 2 ) ⅆ x 0 ≤ x<1 F(1)+ ∫ 1 x ( 6 11 ) ⅆ x 1 ≤ x<2 F(2)+ ∫ 2 x ( - 6 11 x+ 18 11 ) ⅆ x 2 ≤ x<3 F(3) 3 ≤ x ={ 0 x<0 6 33 x 3 0 ≤ x<1 F(1)+ [ 6 11 x ] 1 x 1 ≤ x<2 F(2)+ [ - 6 22 x 2 + 18 11 x ] 2 x 2 ≤ x<3 F(3) 3 ≤ x ={ 0 x<0 2 11 x 3 0 ≤ x<1 6 33 +[ ( 6 11 x )-( 6 11 ) ] 1 ≤ x<2 F(2)+[ ( - 6 22 x 2 + 18 11 x )-( - 12 11 + 36 11 ) ] 2 ≤ x<3 F(3) 3 ≤ x =
={ 0 x<0 2 11 x 3 0 ≤ x<1 6 11 x- 4 11 1 ≤ x<2 F(2)- 6 22 x 2 + 18 11 x- 24 11 2 ≤ x<3 F(3) 3 ≤ x ={ 0 x<0 2 11 x 3 0 ≤ x<1 6 11 x- 4 11 1 ≤ x<2 12 11 - 4 11 - 6 22 x 2 + 18 11 x- 24 11 2 ≤ x<3 F(3) 3 ≤ x ={ 0 x<0 2 11 x 3 0 ≤ x<1 6 11 x- 4 11 1 ≤ x<2 - 6 22 x 2 + 18 11 x- 16 11 2 ≤ x<3 F(3) 4 ≤ x ={ 0 x<0 2 11 x 3 0 ≤ x<1 6 11 x- 4 11 1 ≤ x<2 - 6 22 x 2 + 18 11 x- 16 11 2 ≤ x<3 1 3 ≤ x
m= ∫ - ∞ + ∞ x ⋅ f(x) ⅆ x = ∫ 0 1 ( 6 11 ) x 3 ⅆ x + ∫ 1 2 ( 6 11 )x ⅆ x + ∫ 2 3 ( - 6 11 x+ 18 11 )x ⅆ x =
= 6 11 ∫ 0 1 x 3 ⅆ x + 6 11 ∫ 1 2 x ⅆ x - 6 11 ∫ 2 3 x 2 ⅆ x + 18 11 ∫ 2 3 x ⅆ x = 6 11 [ x 4 4 ] 0 1 + 6 11 [ x 2 2 ] 1 2 - 6 11 [ x 3 3 ] 2 3 + 18 11 [ x 2 2 ] 2 3 =
= 6 11 [ 1 4 ]+ 6 11 [ 4 2 - 1 2 ]- 6 11 [ 27 3 - 8 3 ]+ 18 11 [ 9 2 - 4 2 ]= 3 22 + 9 11 - 38 11 + 45 11 = 3+18-76+90 22 = 35 22
σ 2 = ∫ - ∞ + ∞ ( x-m ) 2 ⋅ f(x) ⅆ x = ∫ 0 1 ( 6 11 x 2 ) ( x- 35 22 ) 2 ⅆ x + ∫ 1 2 ( 6 11 ) ( x- 35 22 ) 2 ⅆ x + ∫ 2 3 ( - 6 11 x+ 18 11 ) ( x- 35 22 ) 2 ⅆ x =
= ∫ 0 1 ( 6 11 x 2 )( x 2 + 1225 484 - 35 11 x ) ⅆ x + ∫ 1 2 ( 6 11 )( x 2 + 1225 484 - 35 11 x ) ⅆ x + ∫ 2 3 ( - 6 11 x+ 18 11 )( x 2 + 1225 484 - 35 11 x ) ⅆ x =
= ∫ 0 1 ( 6 11 x 4 + 7350 5324 x 2 - 210 121 x 3 ) ⅆ x + ∫ 1 2 ( 6 11 x 2 + 7350 5324 - 210 121 x ) ⅆ x + ∫ 2 3 ( - 6 11 x 3 - 7350 5324 x+ 210 121 x 2 + 18 11 x 2 + 22050 5324 - 630 121 x ) ⅆ x =
= [ 6 55 x 5 + 2450 5324 x 3 - 105 242 x 4 ] 0 1 + [ 6 33 x 3 + 7350 5324 x- 105 121 x 2 ] 1 2 + [ - 3 22 x 4 + 136 121 x 3 - 17535 5324 x 2 + 22050 5324 x ] 2 3 =
= 6 55 + 2450 5324 - 105 242 +[ ( 48 33 + 7350 2662 - 420 121 )-( 6 33 + 7350 5324 - 105 121 ) ]+[ ( - 243 22 + 3672 121 - 157815 5324 + 66150 5324 )-( - 48 22 + 1088 121 - 17535 1331 + 22050 2662 ) ]= = 2904+12250-11550 26620 +[ 23232+44100-55440-2904-22050+13860 15972 ]+[ -58806+161568-157815+66150+11616-47872+70140-44100 5324 ]=
= 3604 26620 +[ 798 15972 ]+[ 881 5324 ]= 901 6655 + 133 2662 + 881 5324 = 3604+1330+4405 26620 = 9339 26620 = 849 2420
p( x ≤ 2 )=F(2)= 12 11 - 4 11 = 8 11