=a ∫ 0 1 ⅆ x +a ∫ 1 2 x ⅆ x +4a ∫ 2 4 ⅆ x -a ∫ 2 4 x ⅆ x =a [x] 0 1 +a [ x 2 2 ] 1 2 +4a [x] 2 4 -a [ x 2 2 ] 2 4 = =a+2a- a 2 +8a-8a+2a= 9 2 a ⇒ a= 2 9 Quindi la distribuzione di probabilità diventa (normalizzata): f(x)={ 0 x<0 2 9 0 ≤ x<1 2 9 x 1 ≤ x<2 - 2 9 x+ 8 9 2 ≤ x<4 0 4 ≤ x
In questo caso: F(x) ={ 0 x<0 ∫ 0 x ( 2 9 ) ⅆ x 0 ≤ x<1 F(1)+ ∫ 1 x ( 2 9 x ) ⅆ x 1 ≤ x<2 F(2)+ ∫ 2 x ( - 2 9 x+ 8 9 ) ⅆ x 2 ≤ x<4 F(4) 4 ≤ x ={ 0 x<0 2 9 x 0 ≤ x<1 F(1)+ [ 1 9 x 2 ] 1 x 1 ≤ x<2 F(2)+ [ - 1 9 x 2 + 8 9 x ] 2 x 2 ≤ x<4 F(4) 4 ≤ x ={ 0 x<0 2 9 x 0 ≤ x<1 2 9 +[ ( 1 9 x 2 )-( 1 9 ) ] 1 ≤ x<2 F(2)+[ ( - 1 9 x 2 + 8 9 x )-( - 4 9 + 16 9 ) ] 2 ≤ x<4 F(4) 4 ≤ x = ={ 0 x<0 2 9 x 0 ≤ x<1 1 9 x 2 + 1 9 1 ≤ x<2 F(2)- 1 9 x 2 + 8 9 x- 12 9 2 ≤ x<4 F(4) 4 ≤ x ={ 0 x<0 2 9 x 0 ≤ x<1 1 9 x 2 + 1 9 1 ≤ x<2 4 9 + 1 9 - 1 9 x 2 + 8 9 x- 12 9 2 ≤ x<4 F(4) 4 ≤ x ={ 0 x<0 2 9 x 0 ≤ x<1 1 9 x 2 + 1 9 1 ≤ x<2 - 1 9 x 2 + 8 9 x- 7 9 2 ≤ x<4 F(4) 4 ≤ x ={ 0 x<0 2 9 x 0 ≤ x<1 1 9 x 2 + 1 9 1 ≤ x<2 - 1 9 x 2 + 8 9 x- 7 9 2 ≤ x<4 1 4 ≤ x Di seguito il grafico della funzione di ripartizione.
In questo caso: F(x) ={ 0 x<0 ∫ 0 x ( 2 9 ) ⅆ x 0 ≤ x<1 F(1)+ ∫ 1 x ( 2 9 x ) ⅆ x 1 ≤ x<2 F(2)+ ∫ 2 x ( - 2 9 x+ 8 9 ) ⅆ x 2 ≤ x<4 F(4) 4 ≤ x ={ 0 x<0 2 9 x 0 ≤ x<1 F(1)+ [ 1 9 x 2 ] 1 x 1 ≤ x<2 F(2)+ [ - 1 9 x 2 + 8 9 x ] 2 x 2 ≤ x<4 F(4) 4 ≤ x ={ 0 x<0 2 9 x 0 ≤ x<1 2 9 +[ ( 1 9 x 2 )-( 1 9 ) ] 1 ≤ x<2 F(2)+[ ( - 1 9 x 2 + 8 9 x )-( - 4 9 + 16 9 ) ] 2 ≤ x<4 F(4) 4 ≤ x =
={ 0 x<0 2 9 x 0 ≤ x<1 1 9 x 2 + 1 9 1 ≤ x<2 F(2)- 1 9 x 2 + 8 9 x- 12 9 2 ≤ x<4 F(4) 4 ≤ x ={ 0 x<0 2 9 x 0 ≤ x<1 1 9 x 2 + 1 9 1 ≤ x<2 4 9 + 1 9 - 1 9 x 2 + 8 9 x- 12 9 2 ≤ x<4 F(4) 4 ≤ x ={ 0 x<0 2 9 x 0 ≤ x<1 1 9 x 2 + 1 9 1 ≤ x<2 - 1 9 x 2 + 8 9 x- 7 9 2 ≤ x<4 F(4) 4 ≤ x ={ 0 x<0 2 9 x 0 ≤ x<1 1 9 x 2 + 1 9 1 ≤ x<2 - 1 9 x 2 + 8 9 x- 7 9 2 ≤ x<4 1 4 ≤ x
m= ∫ - ∞ + ∞ x ⋅ f(x) ⅆ x = ∫ 0 1 ( 2 9 )x ⅆ x + ∫ 1 2 ( 2 9 x )x ⅆ x + ∫ 2 4 ( - 2 9 x+ 8 9 )x ⅆ x =
= 2 9 ∫ 0 1 x ⅆ x + 2 9 ∫ 1 2 x 2 ⅆ x - 2 9 ∫ 2 4 x 2 ⅆ x + 8 9 ∫ 2 4 x ⅆ x = 2 9 [ x 2 2 ] 0 1 + 2 9 [ x 3 3 ] 1 2 - 2 9 [ x 3 3 ] 2 4 + 8 9 [ x 2 2 ] 2 4 =
= 2 9 [ 1 2 ]+ 2 9 [ 8 3 - 1 3 ]- 2 9 [ 64 3 - 8 3 ]+ 8 9 [ 16 2 - 4 2 ]= 1 9 + 14 27 - 112 27 + 48 9 = 3+14-112+144 27 = 49 27
σ 2 = ∫ - ∞ + ∞ ( x-m ) 2 ⋅ f(x) ⅆ x = ∫ 0 1 ( 2 9 ) ( x- 49 27 ) 2 ⅆ x + ∫ 1 2 ( 2 9 x ) ( x- 49 27 ) 2 ⅆ x + ∫ 2 4 ( - 2 9 x+ 8 9 ) ( x- 49 27 ) 2 ⅆ x =
= ∫ 0 1 ( 2 9 )( x 2 + 2401 729 - 98 27 x ) ⅆ x + ∫ 1 2 ( 2 9 x )( x 2 + 2401 729 - 98 27 x ) ⅆ x + ∫ 2 4 ( - 2 9 x+ 8 9 )( x 2 + 2401 729 - 98 27 x ) ⅆ x =
= ∫ 0 1 ( 2 9 x 2 + 4802 6561 - 196 243 x ) ⅆ x + ∫ 1 2 ( 2 9 x 3 + 4802 6561 x- 196 243 x 2 ) ⅆ x + ∫ 2 4 ( - 2 9 x 3 - 4802 6561 x+ 196 243 x 2 + 8 9 x 2 + 19208 6561 - 784 243 x ) ⅆ x =
= ∫ 0 1 ( 2 9 x 2 + 4802 6561 - 196 243 x ) ⅆ x + ∫ 1 2 ( 2 9 x 3 + 4802 6561 x- 196 243 x 2 ) ⅆ x + ∫ 2 4 ( - 2 9 x 3 + 412 243 x 2 - 25970 6561 x+ 19208 6561 ) ⅆ x =
= [ 2 27 x 3 + 4802 6561 x- 98 243 x 2 ] 0 1 + [ 1 18 x 4 + 2401 6561 x 2 - 196 729 x 3 ] 1 2 + [ - 1 18 x 4 + 412 729 x 3 - 25970 13122 x 2 + 19208 6561 x ] 2 4 =
= 2 27 + 4802 6561 - 98 243 +[ ( 16 18 + 9604 6561 - 1568 729 )-( 1 18 + 2401 6561 - 196 729 ) ]+[ ( - 256 18 + 26368 729 - 415520 13122 + 76832 6561 )-( - 16 18 + 3296 729 - 103880 13122 + 38416 6561 ) ]= = 486+4802-2646 6561 +[ 11664+19208-28224-729-4802+3528 13122 ]+[ -186624+474624-415520+153664+11664-59328+103880-76832 13122 ]= = 2642 6561 +[ 645 13122 ]+[ 5528 13122 ]= 5284+645+5528 13122 = 11457 13122 = 1273 1458
p( x ≤ 2 )=F(2)= 4 9 + 1 9 = 5 9