=a ∫ 0 1 x ⅆ x +( 1-2a ) ∫ 1 2 ⅆ x +2a ∫ 1 2 x ⅆ x +( 2a+1 ) ∫ 2 3 ⅆ x +( 5a+1 ) ∫ 3 4 ⅆ x -a ∫ 3 4 x ⅆ x =a [ x 2 2 ] 0 1 +( 1-2a ) [x] 1 2 +2a [ x 2 2 ] 1 2 +( 2a+1 ) [x] 2 3 +( 5a+1 ) [x] 3 4 -a [ x 2 2 ] 3 4 = = a 2 +( 1-2a )+4a-a+2a+1+5a+1-8a+ 9 2 a=a( 1 2 -2+4-1+2+5-8+ 9 2 )+( 1+1+1 )=5a+3=1 ⇒ a= 1-3 5 =- 2 5 Quindi la distribuzione di probabilità diventa (normalizzata): f(x)= { 0 x<0 - 2 5 x 0 ≤ x<1 - 4 5 x+ 9 5 1 ≤ x<2 1 5 2 ≤ x<3 2 5 x-1 3 ≤ x<4 0 4 ≤ x
In questo caso: F(x) ={ 0 x<0 ∫ 0 x ( - 2 5 x ) ⅆ x 0 ≤ x<1 F(1)+ ∫ 1 x ( - 4 5 x+ 9 5 ) ⅆ x 1 ≤ x<2 F(2)+ ∫ 2 x ( 1 5 ) ⅆ x 2 ≤ x<3 F(3)+ ∫ 3 x ( 2 5 x-1 ) ⅆ x 3 ≤ x<4 F(4) 4 ≤ x ={ 0 x<0 - 1 5 x 2 0 ≤ x<1 F(1)+ [ - 2 5 x 2 + 9 5 x ] 1 x 1 ≤ x<2 F(2)+ [ x 5 ] 2 x 2 ≤ x<3 F(3)+ [ 1 5 x 2 -x ] 3 x 3 ≤ x<4 F(4) 4 ≤ x ={ 0 x<0 - 1 5 x 2 0 ≤ x<1 - 3 10 +[ ( - 2 5 x 2 + 9 5 x )-( - 2 5 + 9 5 ) ] 1 ≤ x<2 F(2)+[ ( x 5 )-( 2 5 ) ] 2 ≤ x<3 F(3)+[ ( 1 5 x 2 -x )-( 9 5 -3 ) ] 3 ≤ x<4 F(4) 4 ≤ x = ={ 0 x<0 - 1 5 x 2 0 ≤ x<1 - 2 5 x 2 + 9 5 x- 8 5 1 ≤ x<2 F(2)+ x 5 - 2 5 2 ≤ x<3 F(3)+ 1 5 x 2 -x- 9 5 +3 3 ≤ x<4 F(4) 4 ≤ x ={ 0 x<0 - 1 5 x 2 0 ≤ x<1 - 2 5 x 2 + 9 5 x- 8 5 1 ≤ x<2 - 8 5 + 18 5 - 8 5 + x 5 - 2 5 2 ≤ x<3 F(3)+ 1 5 x 2 -x- 9 5 +3 3 ≤ x<4 F(4) 4 ≤ x ={ 0 x<0 - 1 5 x 2 0 ≤ x<1 - 2 5 x 2 + 9 5 x- 8 5 1 ≤ x<2 + x 5 2 ≤ x<3 3 5 + 1 5 x 2 -x- 9 5 +3 3 ≤ x<4 F(4) 4 ≤ x ={ 0 x<0 - 1 5 x 2 0 ≤ x<1 - 2 5 x 2 + 9 5 x- 8 5 1 ≤ x<2 + x 5 2 ≤ x<3 1 5 x 2 -x+ 9 5 3 ≤ x<4 1 4 ≤ x Di seguito il grafico della funzione di ripartizione.
In questo caso: F(x) ={ 0 x<0 ∫ 0 x ( - 2 5 x ) ⅆ x 0 ≤ x<1 F(1)+ ∫ 1 x ( - 4 5 x+ 9 5 ) ⅆ x 1 ≤ x<2 F(2)+ ∫ 2 x ( 1 5 ) ⅆ x 2 ≤ x<3 F(3)+ ∫ 3 x ( 2 5 x-1 ) ⅆ x 3 ≤ x<4 F(4) 4 ≤ x ={ 0 x<0 - 1 5 x 2 0 ≤ x<1 F(1)+ [ - 2 5 x 2 + 9 5 x ] 1 x 1 ≤ x<2 F(2)+ [ x 5 ] 2 x 2 ≤ x<3 F(3)+ [ 1 5 x 2 -x ] 3 x 3 ≤ x<4 F(4) 4 ≤ x ={ 0 x<0 - 1 5 x 2 0 ≤ x<1 - 3 10 +[ ( - 2 5 x 2 + 9 5 x )-( - 2 5 + 9 5 ) ] 1 ≤ x<2 F(2)+[ ( x 5 )-( 2 5 ) ] 2 ≤ x<3 F(3)+[ ( 1 5 x 2 -x )-( 9 5 -3 ) ] 3 ≤ x<4 F(4) 4 ≤ x =
={ 0 x<0 - 1 5 x 2 0 ≤ x<1 - 2 5 x 2 + 9 5 x- 8 5 1 ≤ x<2 F(2)+ x 5 - 2 5 2 ≤ x<3 F(3)+ 1 5 x 2 -x- 9 5 +3 3 ≤ x<4 F(4) 4 ≤ x ={ 0 x<0 - 1 5 x 2 0 ≤ x<1 - 2 5 x 2 + 9 5 x- 8 5 1 ≤ x<2 - 8 5 + 18 5 - 8 5 + x 5 - 2 5 2 ≤ x<3 F(3)+ 1 5 x 2 -x- 9 5 +3 3 ≤ x<4 F(4) 4 ≤ x ={ 0 x<0 - 1 5 x 2 0 ≤ x<1 - 2 5 x 2 + 9 5 x- 8 5 1 ≤ x<2 + x 5 2 ≤ x<3 3 5 + 1 5 x 2 -x- 9 5 +3 3 ≤ x<4 F(4) 4 ≤ x ={ 0 x<0 - 1 5 x 2 0 ≤ x<1 - 2 5 x 2 + 9 5 x- 8 5 1 ≤ x<2 + x 5 2 ≤ x<3 1 5 x 2 -x+ 9 5 3 ≤ x<4 1 4 ≤ x
m= ∫ - ∞ + ∞ x ⋅ f(x) ⅆ x = ∫ 0 1 ( - 2 5 x )x ⅆ x + ∫ 1 2 ( - 4 5 x+ 9 5 )x ⅆ x + ∫ 2 3 ( + 1 5 )x ⅆ x + ∫ 3 4 ( 2 5 x-1 )x ⅆ x =
= ∫ 0 1 x 2 ⅆ x - 4 5 ∫ 1 2 x 2 ⅆ x + 9 5 ∫ 1 2 x ⅆ x + ∫ 2 3 x ⅆ x + ∫ 3 4 x 2 ⅆ x - ∫ 3 4 x ⅆ x =- 2 5 [ x 3 3 ] 0 1 - 4 5 [ x 3 3 ] 1 2 + 9 5 [ x 2 2 ] 1 2 + 1 5 [ x 2 2 ] 2 3 + 2 5 [ x 3 3 ] 3 4 - [ x 2 2 ] 3 4 = =- 2 5 [ 1 3 ]- 4 5 [ 8 3 - 1 3 ]+ 9 5 [ 4 2 - 1 2 ]+ 1 5 [ 9 2 - 4 2 ]+ 2 5 [ 64 3 - 27 3 ]-[ 16 2 - 9 2 ]=- 2 15 - 28 15 + 27 10 + 1 2 + 74 15 - 7 2 = -4-56+81+15+148-105 30 = 79 30
σ 2 = ∫ - ∞ + ∞ ( x-m ) 2 ⋅ f(x) ⅆ x = ∫ 0 1 ( - 2 5 x ) ( x- 79 30 ) 2 ⅆ x + ∫ 1 2 ( - 4 5 x+ 9 5 ) ( x- 79 30 ) 2 ⅆ x + ∫ 2 3 ( 1 5 ) ( x- 79 30 ) 2 ⅆ x + ∫ 3 4 ( 2 5 x-1 ) ( x- 79 30 ) 2 ⅆ x =
= ∫ 0 1 ( - 2 5 x )( x 2 + 6241 900 - 79 15 x ) ⅆ x + ∫ 1 2 ( - 4 5 x+ 9 5 )( x 2 + 6241 900 - 79 15 x ) ⅆ x + ∫ 2 3 ( 1 5 )( x 2 + 6241 900 - 79 15 x ) ⅆ x + ∫ 3 4 ( 2 5 x-1 )( x 2 + 6241 900 - 79 15 x ) ⅆ x =
= ∫ 0 1 ( - 2 5 x 3 - 6241 2250 x+ 158 75 x 2 ) ⅆ x + ∫ 1 2 ( - 4 5 x 3 - 6241 1125 x+ 316 75 x 2 + 9 5 x 2 + 6241 500 - 711 75 x ) ⅆ x + 1 5 ∫ 2 3 ( x 2 + 6241 900 - 79 15 x ) ⅆ x + ∫ 3 4 ( 2 5 x 3 + 6241 2250 x- 158 75 x 2 - x 2 - 6241 900 + 79 15 x ) ⅆ x =
= ∫ 0 1 ( - 2 5 x 3 - 6241 2250 x+ 158 75 x 2 ) ⅆ x + ∫ 1 2 ( - 4 5 x 3 + 451 75 x 2 - 16906 1125 x+ 6241 500 ) ⅆ x + 1 5 ∫ 2 3 ( x 2 + 6241 900 - 79 15 x ) ⅆ x + ∫ 3 4 ( 2 5 x 3 - 233 75 x 2 + 18091 2250 x- 6241 900 ) ⅆ x =
= [ - 1 10 x 4 - 6241 4500 x 2 + 158 225 x 3 ] 0 1 + [ - 1 5 x 4 + 451 225 x 3 - 8453 1125 x 2 + 6241 500 x ] 1 2 + 1 5 [ x 3 3 + 6241 900 x- 79 30 x 2 ] 2 3 + [ 1 10 x 4 - 233 225 x 3 + 18091 4500 x 2 - 6241 900 x ] 3 4 =
=- 1 10 - 6241 4500 + 158 225 +[ ( - 16 5 + 3608 225 - 33812 1125 + 12482 500 )-( - 1 5 + 451 225 - 8453 1125 + 6241 500 ) ]+ 1 5 [ ( 27 3 + 6241 300 - 237 10 )-( 8 3 + 6241 450 - 158 15 ) ]+[ ( 256 10 - 14912 225 + 289456 4500 - 24964 900 )-( 81 10 - 6291 225 + 162819 4500 - 18723 900 ) ]=
= -450-6241+3160 4500 +[ -72000+360800-676240+561690+4500-45100+169060-280845 22500 ]+ 1 5 [ 8100+18723-21330-2400-12482+9480 900 ]+[ 115200-298240+289456-124820-36450+125820-162819+93615 4500 ]=
=- 3531 4500 +[ 21865 22500 ]+ 1 5 [ 91 900 ]+[ 1762 4500 ]==- 3531 4500 + 4373 4500 + 91 4500 + 1762 4500 = 2695 4500 = 539 900
p( x ≤ 2 )=F(2)=- 8 5 + 18 5 = -8+18 5 = 10 5 =2